19th Ward Chicago: Polls....Biden 91% chance of winning, by election day his odds of winning will be over 300%!

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

Polls....Biden 91% chance of winning, by election day his odds of winning will be over 300%!

Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. Trump should just quit now and flee to Russia

	Chance of winning the electoral college	Chance of winning the most votes	Predicted range of electoral college votes (270 to win)
Joe Biden Democrat	around 9 in 10 or 91%	better than 19 in 20 or 99%	223-422
Donald Trump Republican	around 1 in 10 or 9%	less than 1 in 20 or 1%	116-315

The probability of an electoral-college tie is <1%

Estimated electoral college votes

Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls

with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on election day.

95% confidence

60%

Median

347Biden 347Trump 191Trump 191270 to win270 to win

2 comments:

Anonymous10/13/2020
They said that last time with Hillary.......
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Eddie10/14/2020
Because The Economist says so? ಠ_ಠ
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The theme of this blog has changed. We are now headed into a period of extreme political and economic troubles. We want to increase everyone's awareness and show them how to weather the storm. We are going to begin including articles and videos on prepping (food, water, shelter, medicine, self-defense,) basic economics and general SHTF lifestyle changes.

I am not going to be critical of 19th ward politicians. They tend to do the best job they can with very limited resources, and don't need to be beaten up. In fact, people should be helping them as they are among the last "normal" leaders in Illinois.

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